Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 3.063279 3.597115 4.164749 4.810071 5.520197 6.274764 7.134098
2025-01-12 2.260010 2.985871 3.816281 4.822756 5.995950 7.307355 8.870989
2025-01-19 1.660985 2.469761 3.462776 4.738336 6.300670 8.121191 10.371788
2025-01-26 1.303841 2.166997 3.297010 4.822768 6.768916 9.112211 12.090135
2025-02-02 1.038445 1.925693 3.160240 4.903895 7.207620 10.058872 13.765121
2025-02-09 0.777378 1.632195 2.903483 4.784959 7.359768 10.632859 14.979663
2025-02-16 0.579050 1.387320 2.673821 4.665982 7.483217 11.152395 16.118933
2025-02-23 0.452450 1.230273 2.548079 4.671259 7.758381 11.860453 17.499437
2025-03-02 0.337102 1.061251 2.375955 4.584672 7.888717 12.367885 18.619569
2025-03-09 0.287230 1.009631 2.388273 4.772439 8.407799 13.401784 20.441416
2025-03-16 0.221740 0.902952 2.288712 4.772074 8.646614 14.053009 21.762625
2025-03-23 0.195330 0.881693 2.339150 5.011975 9.243237 15.205324 23.768388
2025-03-30 0.166126 0.846119 2.361802 5.212642 9.796991 16.324090 25.769719
2025-04-06 0.131647 0.782190 2.320557 5.301564 10.182691 17.215105 27.479137
2025-04-13 0.093878 0.687691 2.202292 5.246464 10.340091 17.781848 28.751980
2025-04-20 0.073572 0.641575 2.178547 5.353417 10.750618 18.715795 30.541410
2025-04-27 0.056629 0.597069 2.150764 5.448253 11.140767 19.623369 32.302782
2025-05-04 0.035379 0.511199 2.011499 5.324010 11.169246 19.998659 33.321669
2025-05-11 0.020525 0.434918 1.878571 5.197667 11.183911 20.347677 34.302466
2025-05-18 0.012883 0.390245 1.817302 5.204101 11.415500 21.020107 35.746808
2025-05-25 0.006459 0.334218 1.711765 5.111244 11.472424 21.426639 36.812812
2025-06-01 0.004855 0.327869 1.748935 5.313484 12.038739 22.613757 39.012697
2025-06-08 0.002355 0.292921 1.692038 5.313168 12.252431 23.263432 40.442206